Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 198.558020 232.411236 272.140186 322.692556 386.005509 463.625908 5.674782e+02
2025-06-22 146.114276 184.854993 235.296063 307.406213 410.649718 557.791287 7.925485e+02
2025-06-29 121.438992 161.719340 217.966161 305.241603 443.174175 664.277952 1.073040e+03
2025-07-06 105.348638 145.870667 205.598669 304.535139 474.224554 775.391529 1.412974e+03
2025-07-13 97.886349 140.600473 206.890286 323.961131 542.113476 973.339351 2.036467e+03
2025-07-20 93.079600 138.263677 211.823927 349.916572 629.160003 1245.968904 3.044453e+03
2025-07-27 85.155144 129.631319 204.641764 352.101571 669.853326 1437.752593 4.026131e+03
2025-08-03 79.559365 123.987431 201.517227 361.011215 727.497032 1700.771350 5.558468e+03
2025-08-10 73.411598 116.569252 193.979706 359.265544 760.093853 1915.540403 7.237611e+03
2025-08-17 68.734369 111.149445 189.305075 362.482427 806.137504 2200.383120 9.803680e+03
2025-08-24 64.331590 105.709316 183.793359 362.669528 844.589947 2488.450875 1.313320e+04
2025-08-31 60.426293 100.761439 178.572150 362.462673 882.283765 2804.687818 1.773792e+04
2025-09-07 58.327817 99.339845 181.022518 383.132360 997.449815 3577.507095 3.108156e+04
2025-09-14 52.955772 91.107236 168.270065 363.527792 978.920282 3739.961372 3.903326e+04
2025-09-21 49.558217 86.406866 162.469865 360.820504 1017.632737 4251.658876 5.893928e+04
2025-09-28 46.675912 82.435249 157.724438 359.943526 1063.561969 4880.077353 9.443647e+04
2025-10-05 45.745786 82.320115 161.591725 384.081177 1219.032717 6509.092135 2.394780e+05
2025-10-12 45.277451 83.099186 167.638315 416.477425 1432.631241 9184.955064 9.486060e+05
2025-10-19 43.151493 80.121886 164.281631 419.211995 1516.165770 10973.876482 2.933348e+06
2025-10-26 41.634970 78.318313 163.562421 430.374162 1650.818293 13885.882554 2.257876e+07
2025-11-02 39.606333 75.197603 159.136012 428.185697 1715.969567 16242.631305 4.423749e+08
2025-11-09 38.022575 72.936689 156.643299 432.219100 1821.600801 19889.743752 NaN
2025-11-16 36.401974 70.454890 153.277823 432.453765 1907.395945 23863.368013 NaN